Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 9.031538 10.662673 12.456520 14.569238 16.982629 19.646525 22.802238
2025-03-23 6.426802 8.650218 11.370259 14.909557 19.356318 24.718608 31.629960
2025-03-30 5.044966 7.544950 10.871634 15.544095 21.846202 29.949842 41.038157
2025-04-06 3.828804 6.298594 9.840510 15.156934 22.773125 33.104141 47.948477
2025-04-13 2.869821 5.167963 8.702679 14.340921 22.867068 34.990369 53.165401
2025-04-20 2.514096 4.874353 8.715172 15.143471 25.281894 40.227601 63.365365
2025-04-27 2.269586 4.704868 8.873079 16.151603 28.058735 46.165059 74.972743
2025-05-04 1.958629 4.347809 8.651337 16.490554 29.784863 50.620218 84.655276
2025-05-11 1.647197 3.920269 8.230505 16.418019 30.801016 54.011695 92.899003
2025-05-18 1.363256 3.482719 7.714634 16.094179 31.330870 56.625562 100.047168
2025-05-25 1.132095 3.102790 7.241912 15.773267 31.805105 59.142022 107.151338
2025-06-01 0.928585 2.735459 6.730297 15.301322 31.940175 61.065398 113.360384
2025-06-08 0.697370 2.251920 5.917354 14.181085 30.872134 61.026849 116.623307
2025-06-15 0.617319 2.137511 5.898984 14.695038 32.982101 66.782441 130.293425
2025-06-22 0.556420 2.058889 5.948803 15.359218 35.449912 73.364084 145.839469
2025-06-29 0.450580 1.814397 5.552198 14.983290 35.784691 76.045568 154.621483
2025-07-06 0.346623 1.535540 5.006547 14.176715 35.126336 76.785499 159.901954
2025-07-13 0.321449 1.513119 5.132757 14.971682 37.938270 84.364701 178.233347
2025-07-20 0.305010 1.517172 5.332606 15.970087 41.277955 93.181566 199.354102
2025-07-27 0.269246 1.435325 5.271630 16.305781 43.173794 99.250275 215.582547
2025-08-03 0.227597 1.312736 5.064285 16.233947 44.134550 103.489626 228.517614
2025-08-10 0.186987 1.175441 4.780005 15.913233 44.479190 106.474935 239.153075
2025-08-17 0.153367 1.052663 4.512647 15.595426 44.791192 109.398773 249.809204